Chancellor Merkel’s underwhelming victory and the Social Democratic (SPD) party’s current unwillingness to form another Grand Coalition with the CDU/CSU have increased the chances of a ‘Jamaica’ alliance with the Free Democratic (FDP) and Green parties.
But climate change and energy policy are likely to make complex negotiations even more difficult, as many observers claim that the two junior parties are incompatible and will end up losing support if they compromise on campaign promises.
NGO Germanwatch’s Christoph Bals warned that the Jamaica option is “a highly risky situation” for the Greens and failure to achieve visible progress on climate change could mean “a bitter loss at the polls next time”.
The Greens have already pledged to start phasing out coal as soon as possible and to go completely coal-free by 2030. Merkel’s latest stint as chancellor saw little to no progress in coming up with a concrete roadmap for the phase-out.